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Politics 2 min read 5h ago · Updated August 25, 2026 at 00:13 UTC

Moro Leads All Scenarios in Paraná Governor Poll

  • Sérgio Moro leads the Paraná governor race with 37% in the first round, 16 points ahead of second-placed Requião Filho on 21%, per a Quaest poll released Monday.
  • In one second-round simulation, Moro defeats Requião Filho by 51% to 27%, though details of the remaining second-round scenarios were not available in the supplied data.
  • Eighteen per cent of voters remain undecided, and 7% say they would not vote or would spoil their ballot, indicating residual uncertainty in the race.
Moro Leads All Scenarios in Paraná Governor Poll
Moro Leads All Scenarios in Paraná Governor Poll

Senator Sérgio Moro (PL-PR) holds a commanding lead in every simulated scenario for the Paraná state governorship, according to a Quaest poll published on Monday, with an 18 per cent undecided share suggesting the race retains meaningful volatility ahead of the 2026 election.

First-round standings

In the first-round simulation, Moro registers 37 per cent support, well clear of his nearest rival Requião Filho (PDT) on 21 per cent and Sandro Alex (PSD) on 15 per cent. Luiz França (Missão) and Tayná Miessa (UP) are level at 1 per cent, while Alexandre Salomão (Mobiliza), Adriano Funileiro (PCO), and Samuel de Mattos (PSTU) each score zero. Seven per cent of those surveyed said they would not vote or would cast a blank or spoiled ballot.

Second-round projection

In one second-round scenario modelled by Quaest, Moro leads Requião Filho by a margin of 51 per cent to 27 per cent. The poll's source material as supplied does not detail the remaining second-round scenarios in full, and those figures remain unconfirmed. The scale of Moro's lead in the scenario provided nonetheless underlines his present dominance of the field. His trajectory in Paraná forms part of a broader reshaping of Brazilian electoral politics ahead of the 2026 cycle, a process examined in analysis of how leading national figures have so far failed to articulate a coherent vision for the country's future.

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